
Breaking News Rocks U.S. Politics
Tonight, July 01, 2025, at 09:17 PM +06, a seismic shift is rumbling through American politics as odds of Elon Musk launching the “America Party” surge to 41%. The Tesla mogul’s bold threat to form a new party, sparked by a clash with President Donald Trump over a controversial $5 trillion spending bill, has ignited a firestorm. With the Senate poised to vote this week, could this be the moment a third choice reshapes the U.S. landscape—or just another billionaire bluff? Let’s dive into the unfolding drama.
The Spark: Musk’s Feud with Trump
The odds spike traces back to Monday, when Musk took to X to propose the “America Party” if Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” passes, adding to the national debt. This follows a public fallout with Trump, who Musk backed with his $250 million America PAC in 2024, over the bill’s fiscal impact. Musk’s poll on X, where 80% favored a party for the “middle 80%,” gained traction, with posts found on the platform showing a mix of support and skepticism. The timing—amid Senate debates—suggests a strategic move, but is it a genuine bid or leverage?
Rising Odds and Public Sentiment
Betting platforms now peg Musk’s party odds at 41%, up from 25% last week, reflecting growing belief in his resolve. This aligns with Gallup’s 2023 finding that 63% of Americans want a third major party, a sentiment Musk taps into with his centrist pitch. Supporters on X hail it as a break from Democrat-Republican gridlock, while critics warn of a divided vote benefiting Trump’s rivals. The “America Party” name echoes his PAC, but launching it requires navigating complex state ballot laws—a hurdle that could test his resources.
Implications for the GOP and Beyond
If Musk follows through, the GOP faces a challenge. Trump has threatened to slash SpaceX and Tesla subsidies, while Musk vows to target pro-bill Republicans in primaries. This could split the conservative base, especially in swing states, though some analysts see it strengthening Trump by rallying his core against a “tech outsider.” A successful party might force a 2026 congressional rethink, but failure could cement Musk as a political wildcard. The Senate’s vote this week could be the tipping point.

Is America Ready for a New Choice?
As the night deepens, the question looms: Is 2025 the year for a new political force? Musk’s 220-million-follower platform gives him unprecedented reach, but history shows third parties—like Perot’s 19% in 1992—often fade. Yet, with voter frustration high, his wealth and influence might just tip the scales. Whether this is a revolution or a distraction, the coming days will reveal Musk’s next move.